Managing Fx risk on Masala Bond Investment
Written by QuantArt Market
Published on: 20 th November 2020
Search for good USD yield is on given the abundant liquidity and near-zero deposit rates in the US. Masala Bonds or in other words INR bonds listed overseas where coupons are paid in INR offers attractive yields. Yields on Masala bonds range between 5.50% to 8.00% in INR. The only risk to be managed to get a decent yield here is the Fx risk of USDINR. If the fx risk is managed well, 3.00%-5.00% of USD yield is possible. Off late we have seen inquiries on Fx risk management related to Masala bonds and hence we are putting up a small note.
We present here some hedge instruments which are effective and cost less so that your yields are better. Please find a few scenarios at different spot levels after one year for various hedge instruments and related returns in bonds in the tables below.
Spot Ref: 74.25
Net return on bond in different scenarios assuming 6.00% yield in Masala bond will be as follows.
Characteristics of instruments in short:
- Forwards – locks at a rate.
- Plain call – right to buy at the strike but no obligation if INR appreciates below the strike.
- Call spread – no obligation, right to buy at buying call strike and protection ends at sell call level. Above sell call level benefit of spread will be on your account.
- Capped forward – right to buy at buying call strike and protection ends at sell call level. Above sell call level benefit of spread will be on your account, obligation below the Lower leg (sell put/buy call level).
As you can see that a capped forward from the spot till 80.00 has a good chance of offering a 3.00% yield. Certainly, the risk needs to be managed.
Don’t hesitate to contact us for a detailed discussion on bond investment and return protection.
Check out our other article on ECB Framework and hedging guideline and RBI’s new hedging guidelines – Impacts for Indian companies
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